0xe822f1...32e66d

Smart Score

Win Rate

78.6%

Total P&L

+$19

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

2.26

Sortino Ratio

62.27

Max Drawdown

13795.9%

ROI

5.3%

Profit Factor

5.69

Kelly Fraction

0.647

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

060/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	63.0¢	1.32	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	64.3¢	4.63	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	64.8¢	0.36	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	64.6¢	0.21	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	64.6¢	6.58	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	66.4¢	13.09	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	SELL	27.0¢	22.68	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	SELL	33.0¢	15.53	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	66.0¢	16.39	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	62.0¢	42.581	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	BUY	27.0¢	43.741	Mar 5
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 5, 2026?	BUY	14.0¢	98.714	Mar 5
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in March?	BUY	96.0¢	4.479	Mar 4
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in March?	BUY	89.0¢	1.865	Mar 4
Will Trump visit China by March 31?	SELL	55.1¢	0.07	Mar 3
Will Trump visit China by March 31?	SELL	56.2¢	0.39	Mar 3
Will Trump visit China by March 31?	BUY	58.4¢	17.568	Mar 3
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?	SELL	44.0¢	0.04	Mar 1
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?	SELL	45.0¢	2.66	Mar 1
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?	SELL	44.0¢	0.04	Mar 1

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Active60

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.30

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)54.6%

Win Consistency60.0%

Profit Factor1.56

Drawdown Resilience1.26

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.26

Weekly Sharpe est.0.96

Trading Activity65 trades · 8 active days

P&L Calendar

$1201d profit7d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue