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0xe84245...5127d6

0xe84245...5127d6
Smart Score
34
Win Rate
26.4%
Total P&L
+$134.6K
Trade Count
954
Sharpe Ratio
1.06
Sortino Ratio
126.90
Max Drawdown
374.8%
ROI
6112.9%
Profit Factor
2.80
Kelly Fraction
0.170
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
034.3/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?BUY1.0¢500Feb 16
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?BUY0.5¢1,002.83Feb 16
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?BUY0.5¢108.17Feb 16
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?BUY3.0¢120Feb 16
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?BUY0.6¢1,111Feb 15
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?BUY0.8¢205Feb 15
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?BUY0.8¢906Feb 15
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?BUY1.1¢889Feb 15
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?BUY1.1¢222Feb 15
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?BUY4.0¢92Feb 15
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?BUY4.0¢10Feb 15
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?BUY0.6¢647.07Feb 15
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?BUY0.6¢107.113Feb 15
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?BUY0.6¢142.435Feb 15
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?BUY0.6¢173.863Feb 15
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?BUY0.6¢31.84Feb 15
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?BUY0.6¢8.66Feb 15
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?BUY0.9¢793.39Feb 15
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?BUY1.7¢65.65Feb 15
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?BUY0.9¢316.53Feb 15

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%99%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing34.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.89
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)31.2%
Win Consistency58.0%
Profit Factor0.89
Drawdown Resilience0.72
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.72
Weekly Sharpe est.0.55
Trading Activity954 trades · 30 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$8841d profit29d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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