0xe84810...5a6041

Smart Score

Win Rate

56.1%

Total P&L

+$42

Trade Count

465

Sharpe Ratio

-0.48

Sortino Ratio

-1.24

Max Drawdown

5705.2%

ROI

0.7%

Profit Factor

1.34

Kelly Fraction

0.142

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

08.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 5?	BUY	6.0¢	50	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on March 5?	BUY	38.0¢	2.895	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on March 5?	BUY	37.0¢	2.973	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 5?	SELL	84.2¢	43.38	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on March 5?	BUY	4.3¢	25.386	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on March 5?	BUY	44.0¢	4.886	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 5?	BUY	92.2¢	43.378	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 5?	SELL	79.0¢	1.96	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 5?	SELL	79.5¢	44.29	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 5?	SELL	77.0¢	0.33	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 5?	SELL	78.0¢	1.03	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 5?	BUY	84.0¢	47.619	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 5?	SELL	0.9¢	10	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 5?	SELL	99.6¢	87.54	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 5?	SELL	17.6¢	17.41	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 5?	SELL	19.0¢	30.65	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 5?	BUY	97.0¢	6.144	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 5?	BUY	97.7¢	40.942	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 5?	BUY	1.7¢	10	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 5?	BUY	98.9¢	40.451	Mar 5

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing8.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.49

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)8.1%

Win Consistency40.0%

Profit Factor0.23

Drawdown Resilience0.19

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.19

Weekly Sharpe est.0.14

Trading Activity465 trades · 8 active days

P&L Calendar

$93d profit4d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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