0xe882d2...8792c7

Smart Score

Win Rate

98.4%

Total P&L

+$1

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-1.45

Sortino Ratio

-1.32

Max Drawdown

58175.0%

ROI

0.2%

Profit Factor

109.21

Kelly Fraction

0.975

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

026.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	99.7¢	21.143	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on March 4?	BUY	99.8¢	10.521	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	10.5	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	10.49	Mar 2
Zhang Youxia seen in public by February 28?	BUY	99.9¢	10.48	Feb 27
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	10.47	Feb 27
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on February 26?	BUY	99.9¢	10.46	Feb 26
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on February 22?	BUY	99.9¢	10.45	Feb 21
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on February 21?	BUY	98.0¢	10.439	Feb 21
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 21?	BUY	99.9¢	10.23	Feb 21
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -1°C on February 21?	BUY	99.9¢	10.22	Feb 20
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on February 20?	BUY	99.9¢	10.21	Feb 20
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -1°C on February 20?	BUY	99.9¢	10.2	Feb 19
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C on February 19?	BUY	99.9¢	10.19	Feb 19
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 4°C on February 19?	BUY	99.9¢	10.18	Feb 18
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -1°C on February 18?	BUY	99.9¢	10.17	Feb 17
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 1°C on February 18?	BUY	99.9¢	10.16	Feb 17
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 1°C on February 17?	BUY	99.9¢	10.15	Feb 16
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C or below on February 17?	BUY	99.9¢	10.14	Feb 16
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on February 16?	BUY	99.9¢	10.13	Feb 16

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing26.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.46

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)24.1%

Win Consistency17.7%

Profit Factor0.69

Drawdown Resilience0.56

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.56

Weekly Sharpe est.0.42

Trading Activity63 trades · 44 active days

P&L Calendar

$6310d profit43d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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