0xe88b2e...e1c584

Smart Score

Win Rate

65.9%

Total P&L

+$23

Trade Count

510

Sharpe Ratio

0.31

Sortino Ratio

3.05

Max Drawdown

10129.6%

ROI

0.6%

Profit Factor

2.44

Kelly Fraction

0.388

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

028.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4AM ET	SELL	99.9¢	14.14	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4AM ET	BUY	99.0¢	14.141	Mar 5
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	SELL	84.0¢	11.91	Mar 5
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	95.6¢	5.22	Mar 5
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	95.7¢	5.225	Mar 5
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	BUY	84.0¢	11.905	Mar 5
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	97.0¢	8.247	Mar 5
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?	SELL	96.6¢	5.16	Mar 4
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	SELL	82.0¢	7.15	Mar 4
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	97.5¢	8.19	Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	94.5¢	7.43	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9PM ET	SELL	99.9¢	8.16	Mar 4
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	SELL	82.0¢	7.36	Mar 4
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	BUY	82.0¢	7.317	Mar 4
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?	BUY	96.8¢	5.165	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9PM ET	BUY	98.0¢	8.163	Mar 4
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	BUY	84.0¢	7.143	Mar 4
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	92.7¢	5.39	Mar 4
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	92.8¢	5.388	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5PM ET	BUY	99.5¢	9.045	Mar 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing28.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.59

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)26.3%

Win Consistency43.3%

Profit Factor0.75

Drawdown Resilience0.61

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.61

Weekly Sharpe est.0.46

Trading Activity510 trades · 39 active days

P&L Calendar

$51310d profit29d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue