0xe8f5be...113559

0xe8f5be...113559
Smart Score
12
Win Rate
82.0%
Total P&L
-$1
Trade Count
90
Sharpe Ratio
-0.51
Sortino Ratio
-0.40
Max Drawdown
700.0%
ROI
-0.2%
Profit Factor
1.19
Kelly Fraction
0.131
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
011.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Bill Clinton say "Epstein" or "Island" 10+ times during his Epstein testimony?BUY99.9¢5.005Mar 5
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?BUY99.0¢5.051Mar 5
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?BUY99.2¢5.04Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?BUY99.2¢5.04Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY99.9¢5.005Mar 5
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY99.5¢5.025Mar 5
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of February?BUY99.9¢5.005Feb 24
Will Microsoft reach $593 in February?BUY99.9¢5.005Feb 24
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $130 end of February?BUY99.6¢5.02Feb 24
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?BUY99.7¢5.015Feb 24
Will Artemis II launch by February 28?BUY99.2¢5.04Feb 14
Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?BUY99.4¢5.03Feb 14
Will Unitree Robotics have robot dancers at the 2026 Spring Festival Gala?BUY99.6¢5.02Feb 14
Will Unitree Robotics have robot dancers at the 2026 Spring Festival Gala?BUY99.6¢5.02Feb 14
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?BUY98.9¢5.056Feb 14
Will Claude 5 be released on February 14, 2026?BUY99.9¢5.005Feb 14
Negative GDP growth in 2025?SELL99.1¢10.05Feb 14
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 1.0% and 2.0%?SELL88.1¢10.01Feb 14
Will the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the March meeting?BUY99.1¢10.091Feb 9
Negative GDP growth in 2025?BUY99.5¢10.05Feb 9
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%100%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing11.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.65
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)10.7%
Win Consistency54.8%
Profit Factor0.31
Drawdown Resilience0.25
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.25
Weekly Sharpe est.0.19
Trading Activity90 trades · 14 active days
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P&L Calendar
$2171d profit13d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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