0xe90b54...827afa

Smart Score

Win Rate

34.2%

Total P&L

+$741

Trade Count

998

Sharpe Ratio

0.33

Sortino Ratio

29.88

Max Drawdown

65.8%

ROI

3.9%

Profit Factor

1.21

Kelly Fraction

0.058

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

044.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?	BUY	32.0¢	37	Mar 3
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?	BUY	31.0¢	53.57	Mar 3
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?	BUY	31.0¢	2.899	Mar 3
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?	BUY	31.0¢	1.449	Mar 3
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?	BUY	31.0¢	5.4	Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	22.0¢	92.3	Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	22.0¢	7.692	Mar 3
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?	BUY	94.0¢	200	Mar 1
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?	BUY	14.8¢	65.92	Feb 28
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?	BUY	14.8¢	1.174	Feb 28
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?	BUY	14.8¢	1.174	Feb 28
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?	BUY	14.8¢	5.869	Feb 28
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?	BUY	14.8¢	25.844	Feb 28
Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?	BUY	0.2¢	1,000	Feb 28
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?	SELL	24.4¢	20	Feb 28
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?	BUY	4.3¢	100	Feb 28
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?	BUY	94.0¢	226.42	Feb 28
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?	BUY	94.0¢	5	Feb 28
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?	BUY	94.0¢	68.58	Feb 28
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?	BUY	91.0¢	6	Feb 28

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing44.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.45

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)40.5%

Win Consistency44.7%

Profit Factor1.16

Drawdown Resilience0.93

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.93

Weekly Sharpe est.0.71

Trading Activity998 trades · 73 active days

P&L Calendar

$7,93112d profit59d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue