0xe91549...b9ee64

Smart Score

Win Rate

20.0%

Total P&L

+$0

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

10.22

Sortino Ratio

0.00

Max Drawdown

0.0%

ROI

1.8%

Profit Factor

1.07

Kelly Fraction

0.013

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

057.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Opinion FDV above $600M one day after launch?	SELL	24.0¢	5	Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	SELL	50.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on March 5?	BUY	0.1¢	1,000	Mar 4
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on March 5?	BUY	0.3¢	333.333	Mar 4
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	BUY	46.0¢	5	Mar 4
Opinion FDV above $600M one day after launch?	BUY	23.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 3?	SELL	1.6¢	67	Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 3?	SELL	1.6¢	100	Mar 2
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on March 2?	BUY	0.1¢	1,000	Mar 2
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?	SELL	9.6¢	20	Mar 2
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?	BUY	5.0¢	20	Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 3?	BUY	0.6¢	167	Mar 1
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 2, 2026?	SELL	36.0¢	15	Feb 28
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 2, 2026?	BUY	13.0¢	15	Feb 28
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	BUY	4.0¢	3.031	Feb 27
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	BUY	4.0¢	10.64	Feb 27
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	BUY	4.0¢	0.121	Feb 27
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	BUY	4.0¢	1.04	Feb 27
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	BUY	4.0¢	3.031	Feb 27
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	BUY	4.0¢	2.063	Feb 27

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Active57.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.14

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)52.0%

Win Consistency90.0%

Profit Factor1.48

Drawdown Resilience1.20

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.20

Weekly Sharpe est.0.91

Trading Activity24 trades · 6 active days

P&L Calendar

+$03d profit3d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue