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0xe91f97...d51ff2

0xe91f97...d51ff2
Smart Score
24
Win Rate
75.0%
Total P&L
-$8
Trade Count
71
Sharpe Ratio
0.30
Sortino Ratio
0.46
Max Drawdown
20.5%
ROI
-0.4%
Profit Factor
0.44
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
023.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Cho Kuk win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionBUY99.9¢16.216Mar 5
Will Chappell Roan be the top Spotify artist for 2026?SELL99.6¢16.91Feb 23
Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY99.3¢16.697Feb 23
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY99.5¢18.543Feb 11
Lakers vs. NetsBUY76.0¢5.395Feb 2
Will Chappell Roan be the top Spotify artist for 2026?BUY99.8¢16.914Jan 31
Will Jeon Hyun-heui win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionSELL99.7¢11.42Jan 31
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Group StageBUY80.0¢7.5Jan 31
Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?BUY91.6¢9.607Jan 25
Will Jeon Hyun-heui win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionBUY99.8¢11.423Jan 20
Will Channing Tatum win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?SELL99.9¢55.1Jan 20
Sentient FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY98.7¢16.001Jan 18
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?SELL0.3¢2,125Jan 18
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?SELL97.5¢22.02Jan 18
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?BUY97.6¢22.021Jan 18
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?BUY0.4¢2,125Jan 12
Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in January?SELL98.7¢92.4Jan 12
Will Channing Tatum win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY99.9¢55.105Jan 10
Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in January?BUY97.4¢92.402Jan 6
Cilia Flores released from custody by January 9, 2026?SELL98.6¢54.84Jan 6

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%8%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%88%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing23.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.31
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)21.7%
Win Consistency67.5%
Profit Factor0.62
Drawdown Resilience0.50
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.50
Weekly Sharpe est.0.38
Trading Activity71 trades · 41 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$16414d profit27d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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