0xe92951...91299f

Smart Score

Win Rate

33.9%

Total P&L

-$3.2K

Trade Count

1,628

Sharpe Ratio

1.69

Sortino Ratio

63.78

Max Drawdown

593.4%

ROI

-4.1%

Profit Factor

0.67

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

028.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 5?	BUY	2.9¢	310.345	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 4?	SELL	99.0¢	304.41	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 4?	BUY	7.3¢	82.192	Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 3?	BUY	1.1¢	90.909	Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 3?	BUY	0.5¢	200	Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 3?	BUY	1.1¢	272.727	Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 4?	BUY	9.0¢	222.222	Mar 2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	BUY	19.0¢	5.263	Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	BUY	17.0¢	5.882	Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	BUY	11.0¢	9.091	Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	BUY	25.0¢	4	Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	BUY	32.0¢	9.375	Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	BUY	5.0¢	20	Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	BUY	20.0¢	5	Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	BUY	31.0¢	6.452	Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	BUY	3.0¢	28.47	Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	SELL	94.0¢	9.61	Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	BUY	37.0¢	5.405	Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	BUY	46.0¢	4.348	Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	BUY	5.0¢	20	Mar 1

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing28.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.55

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)25.6%

Win Consistency58.8%

Profit Factor0.73

Drawdown Resilience0.59

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.59

Weekly Sharpe est.0.45

Trading Activity1,628 trades · 51 active days

P&L Calendar

$40,1344d profit47d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue