0xe9351d...9b778d

Smart Score

Win Rate

44.4%

Total P&L

+$1.9K

Trade Count

305

Sharpe Ratio

-0.02

Sortino Ratio

-0.05

Max Drawdown

1010.8%

ROI

16.5%

Profit Factor

2.08

Kelly Fraction

0.230

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

012.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 5?	BUY	99.8¢	17	Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	SELL	95.5¢	10	Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	SELL	45.7¢	16.2	Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	BUY	79.0¢	10	Feb 17
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?	SELL	99.9¢	123.952	Feb 16
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?	SELL	99.9¢	166.04	Feb 16
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?	BUY	25.0¢	366	Feb 16
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?	SELL	15.8¢	600	Feb 16
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?	BUY	26.6¢	139	Feb 15
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?	BUY	9.0¢	700	Feb 15
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?	SELL	18.2¢	500	Feb 15
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?	SELL	3.1¢	300	Feb 14
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?	BUY	12.9¢	596	Feb 14
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?	BUY	11.0¢	400	Feb 14
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?	SELL	14.0¢	300	Feb 14
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?	SELL	12.4¢	41.94	Feb 14
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?	SELL	12.4¢	257.74	Feb 14
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?	BUY	13.0¢	28	Feb 14
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?	BUY	12.9¢	271.68	Feb 14
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?	SELL	8.4¢	34.42	Feb 13

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing12.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.70

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)11.6%

Win Consistency28.3%

Profit Factor0.33

Drawdown Resilience0.27

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.27

Weekly Sharpe est.0.20

Trading Activity278 trades · 20 active days

P&L Calendar

$5854d profit16d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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