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0xe94a64...2e0ff1

0xe94a64...2e0ff1
Smart Score
36
Win Rate
46.8%
Total P&L
+$2.1K
Trade Count
3,033
Sharpe Ratio
0.52
Sortino Ratio
41.37
Max Drawdown
248.2%
ROI
15.9%
Profit Factor
2.49
Kelly Fraction
0.280
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
035.5/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by March 31?SELL11.0¢65.93Mar 5
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?SELL28.0¢32.87Mar 5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?SELL19.0¢33.16Mar 5
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 31, 2026?SELL39.0¢63.91Mar 5
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY41.8¢1.33Mar 5
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY41.8¢10.309Mar 5
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY41.8¢68.36Mar 5
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY24.8¢100Mar 5
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?BUY75.0¢40Mar 5
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY82.0¢50Mar 5
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?BUY41.0¢20Mar 5
Will Ukraine re-enter Novomykolaivka by March 31?SELL45.0¢12Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?SELL51.0¢10Mar 4
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?BUY34.0¢20Mar 4
Kurds declare independence from Iran?SELL61.0¢27.761Mar 4
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?BUY35.0¢20Mar 4
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?BUY40.0¢5Mar 4
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?BUY43.0¢10Mar 4
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY27.0¢20Mar 4
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31?BUY45.0¢20Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%12%< 10%7%10–20%14%20–30%17%30–50%17%50–70%23%70–80%6%80–90%4%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing35.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.95
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)32.3%
Win Consistency46.6%
Profit Factor0.92
Drawdown Resilience0.75
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.75
Weekly Sharpe est.0.57
Trading Activity3,033 trades · 46 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1,72713d profit33d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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