0xe94b64...77c5ed

Smart Score

Win Rate

68.0%

Total P&L

+$37

Trade Count

778

Sharpe Ratio

-0.16

Sortino Ratio

-0.31

Max Drawdown

6886.4%

ROI

2.3%

Profit Factor

1.34

Kelly Fraction

0.174

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

015.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	SELL	89.0¢	0.37	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	SELL	91.0¢	2.05	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	SELL	86.0¢	2.26	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	SELL	86.0¢	3.81	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	SELL	87.0¢	1.72	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	86.0¢	10.209	Mar 5
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	SELL	98.7¢	1.01	Mar 5
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 6, 2026?	BUY	98.0¢	8.867	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	54.0¢	2.84	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	55.0¢	0.54	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	57.0¢	1.09	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	47.0¢	1.88	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	48.0¢	2.2	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	49.0¢	8.551	Mar 5
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 8, 2026?	BUY	97.5¢	2.092	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	SELL	61.0¢	1.63	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	70.0¢	1.429	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	71.0¢	1.408	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	70.0¢	1.429	Mar 4
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	BUY	90.0¢	1.111	Mar 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing15.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.84

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)13.9%

Win Consistency50.0%

Profit Factor0.40

Drawdown Resilience0.32

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.32

Weekly Sharpe est.0.24

Trading Activity778 trades · 59 active days

P&L Calendar

$5935d profit54d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue