0xe96c22...49f43e

Smart Score

Win Rate

72.7%

Total P&L

-$23

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.51

Sortino Ratio

-0.35

Max Drawdown

418.5%

ROI

-0.4%

Profit Factor

-0.30

Kelly Fraction

1.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

011.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	98.3¢	346.46	Mar 5
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	97.9¢	347.88	Mar 5
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	98.0¢	347.888	Mar 5
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	BUY	80.0¢	25	Jan 12
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on November 6?	BUY	99.4¢	20.121	Nov 6
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?	SELL	95.0¢	108.42	Nov 6
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?	SELL	97.6¢	204.49	Nov 6
Will the Government shutdown end by November 7?	SELL	98.0¢	247.93	Nov 6
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?	BUY	97.8¢	204.499	Nov 6
Will the Government shutdown end by November 7?	BUY	98.0¢	247.939	Nov 6
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?	BUY	95.0¢	108.421	Nov 6
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	SELL	98.0¢	520.4	Nov 5
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	BUY	98.0¢	520.408	Nov 5
Will Zohran Mamdani not win the 2025 New York City mayoral election?	SELL	91.4¢	562.77	Nov 4
Will Zohran Mamdani not win the 2025 New York City mayoral election?	BUY	92.4¢	562.771	Nov 4
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	SELL	94.8¢	537.4	Nov 3
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?	BUY	94.2¢	21.231	Nov 3
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	BUY	94.9¢	537.408	Nov 3

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing11.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.64

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)10.6%

Win Consistency54.5%

Profit Factor0.30

Drawdown Resilience0.24

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.24

Weekly Sharpe est.0.19

Trading Activity18 trades · 6 active days

P&L Calendar

$4080d profit6d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue