0xe976a3...5cfa94

Smart Score

Win Rate

38.1%

Total P&L

+$2

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.59

Sortino Ratio

1.42

Max Drawdown

47.8%

ROI

0.0%

Profit Factor

1.07

Kelly Fraction

0.025

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

032.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	BUY	3.8¢	1,136.053	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 2AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	0.41	Feb 9
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 2AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	8.33	Feb 9
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 2AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	0.94	Feb 9
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	99.0¢	314.25	Feb 8
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	99.1¢	314.258	Feb 7
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	99.1¢	314.23	Feb 5
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	99.1¢	314.238	Feb 4
Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	99.8¢	312.03	Feb 4
Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	99.9¢	312.032	Feb 3
Ethereum Up or Down - February 3, 2AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	11.69	Feb 3
Ethereum Up or Down - February 1, 11PM ET	BUY	50.0¢	4.94	Feb 1
Ethereum Up or Down - February 1, 11PM ET	BUY	50.0¢	2.72	Feb 1
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	99.0¢	305.03	Feb 1
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	99.1¢	305.035	Jan 30
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	99.2¢	304.7	Jan 30
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	99.3¢	304.703	Jan 29
Will Crystal Palace win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	SELL	99.8¢	303.18	Jan 29
Will Crystal Palace win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	BUY	99.9¢	303.183	Jan 29
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 1AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	11.7	Jan 28

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing32.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.77

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)29.2%

Win Consistency47.6%

Profit Factor0.83

Drawdown Resilience0.67

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.67

Weekly Sharpe est.0.51

Trading Activity40 trades · 21 active days

P&L Calendar

$936d profit12d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue