0xe97b49...9c4a7c

Smart Score

Win Rate

86.9%

Total P&L

-$88

Trade Count

293

Sharpe Ratio

-0.48

Sortino Ratio

-0.36

Max Drawdown

448.3%

ROI

-0.3%

Profit Factor

0.75

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

07.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	BUY	94.4¢	90	Mar 5
StandX FDV above $7B one day after launch?	BUY	99.0¢	100	Mar 5
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?	BUY	82.0¢	80	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in March?	BUY	99.5¢	100	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in March?	BUY	96.4¢	100	Mar 5
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	SELL	94.0¢	140	Feb 11
Aztec FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	SELL	99.4¢	4	Feb 10
EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	SELL	98.8¢	100.28	Feb 10
EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	SELL	98.8¢	41.791	Feb 10
EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	SELL	98.8¢	20.243	Feb 10
Aztec FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	SELL	99.4¢	95	Feb 10
EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	SELL	98.8¢	90	Feb 10
Aztec FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	SELL	99.4¢	6	Feb 10
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?	SELL	96.9¢	65	Feb 10
EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	SELL	98.8¢	131.427	Feb 10
EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	SELL	98.8¢	57.918	Feb 10
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?	BUY	96.8¢	65	Feb 10
Aztec FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	BUY	99.3¢	105	Feb 10
EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	BUY	98.6¢	441.68	Feb 10
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in February?	BUY	98.3¢	80	Feb 10

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing7.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.42

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)7.0%

Win Consistency43.3%

Profit Factor0.20

Drawdown Resilience0.16

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.16

Weekly Sharpe est.0.12

Trading Activity293 trades · 57 active days

P&L Calendar

$7,36430d profit27d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue