0xe98a60...c34ff6

Smart Score

Win Rate

65.5%

Total P&L

+$4

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.78

Sortino Ratio

208.32

Max Drawdown

1828.1%

ROI

0.9%

Profit Factor

1.09

Kelly Fraction

0.056

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

031.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US strikes Iraq by February 28?	BUY	0.1¢	10,000	Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	19.0¢	52.632	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	82.3¢	18.226	Mar 5
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	SELL	18.0¢	7.75	Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	SELL	85.3¢	21.9	Mar 5
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?	BUY	74.0¢	29.743	Feb 25
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	SELL	98.2¢	22.42	Feb 25
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?	BUY	46.0¢	5.804	Feb 22
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	SELL	92.9¢	2.87	Feb 22
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	BUY	16.0¢	7.75	Feb 20
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	SELL	96.3¢	1.29	Feb 20
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	BUY	94.6¢	12.822	Feb 13
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	BUY	69.6¢	2.874	Feb 13
Government shutdown on Saturday?	SELL	14.0¢	50.38	Feb 13
Government shutdown on Saturday?	BUY	60.0¢	50.383	Feb 8
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	SELL	40.0¢	2.43	Feb 8
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	91.3¢	21.906	Feb 8
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	SELL	49.0¢	2.38	Feb 8
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	BUY	42.0¢	2.381	Feb 8
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	BUY	1.0¢	100	Feb 8

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing31.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.73

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)28.6%

Win Consistency55.2%

Profit Factor0.82

Drawdown Resilience0.66

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.66

Weekly Sharpe est.0.50

Trading Activity46 trades · 10 active days

P&L Calendar

$841d profit7d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue