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0xe9ae0c...4a9dda

0xe9ae0c...4a9dda
Smart Score
20
Win Rate
67.2%
Total P&L
+$22
Trade Count
487
Sharpe Ratio
-0.84
Sortino Ratio
-1.09
Max Drawdown
3142.8%
ROI
0.7%
Profit Factor
3.32
Kelly Fraction
0.470
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
020.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY82.0¢8.537Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7PM ETSELL70.1¢5.1Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL62.0¢9.67Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7PM ETBUY98.0¢5.102Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY62.0¢9.677Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5PM ETBUY99.9¢10.01Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL96.0¢6.27Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3PM ETBUY99.0¢10.101Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY96.0¢6.25Mar 4
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL96.5¢5.17Mar 4
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY96.7¢5.171Mar 4
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL98.0¢7.14Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6AM ETBUY99.0¢6.061Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1AM ETBUY99.0¢8.081Mar 4
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY97.8¢10.225Mar 4
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY95.9¢7.299Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL96.0¢5.55Mar 3
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL96.0¢1.735Mar 3
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?BUY52.0¢13.462Mar 3
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?SELL78.0¢8.89Mar 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%13%50–70%11%70–80%6%80–90%67%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing20.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.11
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)18.3%
Win Consistency45.4%
Profit Factor0.52
Drawdown Resilience0.42
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.42
Weekly Sharpe est.0.32
Trading Activity487 trades · 40 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$5228d profit32d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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