0xe9b42a...42f03a

Smart Score

Win Rate

4.1%

Total P&L

+$2.8K

Trade Count

997

Sharpe Ratio

3.25

Sortino Ratio

32920638000000000000.00

Max Drawdown

0.2%

ROI

1390.0%

Profit Factor

13.55

Kelly Fraction

0.038

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

072.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?	SELL	31.2¢	15	Mar 4
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?	SELL	46.9¢	2.6	Mar 3
Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?	SELL	27.7¢	82.332	Mar 1
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?	SELL	47.5¢	58.158	Mar 1
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?	SELL	47.6¢	7.605	Mar 1
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by February 28?	SELL	27.7¢	75	Feb 28
Will BNB reach $1,200 in February?	SELL	45.9¢	44	Feb 28
Will BNB reach $1,200 in February?	SELL	27.7¢	50.829	Feb 28
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?	SELL	58.2¢	8.591	Feb 26
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?	SELL	58.2¢	3.436	Feb 26
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?	SELL	59.6¢	0.575	Feb 22
Will XRP dip to $1.40 February 16-22?	SELL	27.7¢	74	Feb 21
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 21 be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000?	BUY	0.1¢	2.44	Feb 21
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on February 21?	BUY	0.1¢	30.14	Feb 21
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on February 21?	BUY	0.1¢	50.77	Feb 21
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on February 21?	BUY	0.1¢	2.06	Feb 21
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on February 21?	BUY	0.1¢	16.028	Feb 21
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on February 21?	BUY	0.1¢	12.31	Feb 21
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on February 21?	BUY	0.1¢	25	Feb 21
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets in March 2026?	BUY	0.1¢	98	Feb 21

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Active72.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.98

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)65.8%

Win Consistency59.1%

Profit Factor1.88

Drawdown Resilience1.52

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.52

Weekly Sharpe est.1.16

Trading Activity997 trades · 10 active days

P&L Calendar

+$1018d profit2d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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