0xe9f2cb...4f895e

Smart Score

Win Rate

72.7%

Total P&L

+$69

Trade Count

523

Sharpe Ratio

0.14

Sortino Ratio

1.19

Max Drawdown

57518.5%

ROI

0.8%

Profit Factor

3.66

Kelly Fraction

0.528

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

031/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 6AM ET	BUY	99.8¢	17.034	Mar 5
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	BUY	52.0¢	11.538	Mar 5
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	95.6¢	5.22	Mar 5
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	95.7¢	5.225	Mar 5
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	97.0¢	8.247	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12AM ET	SELL	99.8¢	17.17	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12AM ET	BUY	99.0¢	17.172	Mar 5
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	96.5¢	6.21	Mar 5
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	96.6¢	6.211	Mar 5
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	96.5¢	7.25	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7PM ET	SELL	76.4¢	6.18	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7PM ET	BUY	97.0¢	6.186	Mar 4
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	97.5¢	5.12	Mar 4
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	97.6¢	5.123	Mar 4
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?	SELL	96.5¢	7.22	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5PM ET	BUY	99.5¢	9.045	Mar 4
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?	BUY	96.8¢	7.228	Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	96.6¢	6.2	Mar 4
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	SELL	68.0¢	14.7	Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	96.8¢	6.198	Mar 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing31

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.71

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)28.2%

Win Consistency39.4%

Profit Factor0.81

Drawdown Resilience0.65

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.65

Weekly Sharpe est.0.50

Trading Activity491 trades · 42 active days

P&L Calendar

$75311d profit31d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue