Accrue
Log inGet Access

0xe9fd92...83b9e1

0xe9fd92...83b9e1
Smart Score
37
Win Rate
89.7%
Total P&L
+$41
Trade Count
80
Sharpe Ratio
0.22
Sortino Ratio
0.47
Max Drawdown
459.9%
ROI
1.1%
Profit Factor
4.60
Kelly Fraction
0.703
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
036.9/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 6, 2026?BUY97.7¢1.024Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?BUY99.3¢1.007Mar 5
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?BUY99.0¢1.01Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY99.9¢105.105Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY93.7¢106.765Mar 3
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY99.6¢2.008Mar 3
Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 3?BUY88.0¢1.591Mar 3
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?BUY95.8¢1.044Mar 3
Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY98.0¢3.061Feb 27
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY98.7¢101.317Feb 27
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?BUY98.3¢103.052Feb 15
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?BUY99.8¢101.222Feb 10
Will the ECB announce no change at the February 2026 meeting?BUY99.8¢101.082Feb 3
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?BUY99.8¢99.86Jan 31
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?BUY98.0¢1.02Jan 28
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?BUY99.0¢1.414Jan 28
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?BUY99.2¢95.766Jan 28
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting?BUY99.2¢1.512Jan 21
Will there be at least 500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?BUY99.0¢1.01Jan 21
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?BUY97.7¢1.024Jan 21

Analytics

Unlock full analytics on Accrue
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%5%80–90%87%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing36.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.03
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)33.6%
Win Consistency68.0%
Profit Factor0.96
Drawdown Resilience0.77
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.77
Weekly Sharpe est.0.59
Trading Activity61 trades · 41 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$3,3421d profit40d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

Unlock Full Analytics