0xea2837...0f3a0b

Smart Score

Win Rate

59.8%

Total P&L

+$17.8K

Trade Count

3,946

Sharpe Ratio

1.58

Sortino Ratio

12.52

Max Drawdown

60.3%

ROI

35.8%

Profit Factor

2.96

Kelly Fraction

0.396

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

062.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?	SELL	1.5¢	77.34	Mar 5
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-03-12?	SELL	42.0¢	8.1	Mar 5
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?	BUY	61.0¢	100	Mar 5
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	1.7¢	92.89	Mar 5
Will Partido Popular (PP) win the 2026 Castilla y León Regional Election?	SELL	96.3¢	7.42	Mar 5
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	BUY	41.0¢	20	Mar 5
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	BUY	41.0¢	20	Mar 5
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	SELL	48.0¢	74.44	Mar 5
Will Hope Scheppelman be the Republican nominee for CO-03?	SELL	33.5¢	54.2	Mar 5
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?	SELL	60.0¢	9.36	Mar 5
Will Kate Abughazaleh be the Democratic nominee for IL-09?	SELL	26.0¢	21.16	Mar 5
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027	SELL	10.0¢	52.42	Mar 5
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?	SELL	2.8¢	168.44	Mar 5
Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?	SELL	5.2¢	52.02	Mar 5
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	SELL	57.0¢	6	Mar 5
Will Zachary Shrewsbury be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	SELL	12.0¢	65.49	Mar 5
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?	SELL	5.7¢	67.8	Mar 5
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the March meeting?	SELL	15.0¢	220	Mar 5
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-24 House seat?	SELL	15.0¢	207.93	Mar 5
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	SELL	55.0¢	53.72	Mar 5

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Active62.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.42

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)56.6%

Win Consistency54.1%

Profit Factor1.62

Drawdown Resilience1.31

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.31

Weekly Sharpe est.1.00

Trading Activity3,946 trades · 10 active days

P&L Calendar

$7,9382d profit8d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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