0xea4a92...ba598f

Smart Score

Win Rate

53.8%

Total P&L

+$85

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.28

Sortino Ratio

-0.46

Max Drawdown

37.2%

ROI

28.1%

Profit Factor

3.00

Kelly Fraction

0.359

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

041.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Iran nuclear test before 2027?	BUY	11.0¢	182.467	Mar 5
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?	BUY	47.0¢	21.292	Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	79.0¢	68.43	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 3?	BUY	3.1¢	321.875	Mar 1
Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.1% in February?	BUY	3.7¢	136.547	Mar 1
Iran Nuke before 2027?	BUY	10.0¢	200	Feb 28
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?	BUY	32.0¢	62.5	Feb 28
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	BUY	0.3¢	3,333.333	Feb 28
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	20.0¢	100	Feb 28
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?	BUY	40.0¢	75	Feb 28
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	32.0¢	93.75	Feb 28
Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.1% in February?	BUY	1.1¢	916.456	Feb 28
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	BUY	22.0¢	11	Feb 27
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	BUY	26.0¢	10	Feb 27
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	BUY	24.0¢	41.667	Feb 27
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	BUY	63.0¢	79.365	Feb 27

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing41.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.28

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)37.8%

Win Consistency53.8%

Profit Factor1.08

Drawdown Resilience0.87

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.87

Weekly Sharpe est.0.66

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue