0xea7b19...b79c4d

Smart Score

Win Rate

38.3%

Total P&L

+$3.0K

Trade Count

271

Sharpe Ratio

0.85

Sortino Ratio

16.29

Max Drawdown

111.1%

ROI

46.0%

Profit Factor

14.88

Kelly Fraction

0.358

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

044.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	35.0¢	3.308	Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY	39.0¢	500	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	35.0¢	451.56	Mar 5
Will Israel or the US target Fordow nuclear facility?	BUY	53.0¢	200	Mar 5
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?	BUY	82.0¢	300	Mar 3
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?	BUY	86.0¢	34.45	Mar 2
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?	BUY	86.0¢	97.89	Mar 2
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?	BUY	86.0¢	34.214	Mar 2
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?	BUY	86.0¢	253.44	Mar 2
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	BUY	14.0¢	600	Mar 1
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?	BUY	8.7¢	1,200	Mar 1
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	BUY	19.0¢	1,700	Mar 1
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 9, 2026?	BUY	77.0¢	200	Mar 1
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 8, 2026?	BUY	81.0¢	300	Mar 1
Will Israel or the US target Fordow nuclear facility?	BUY	49.0¢	310	Mar 1
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	8.0¢	1,000	Mar 1
Bucks vs. Bulls	SELL	99.9¢	100	Mar 1
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	SELL	99.8¢	300	Mar 1
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	SELL	99.8¢	600	Mar 1
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?	SELL	99.4¢	1,500	Mar 1

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing44.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.44

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)40.3%

Win Consistency44.3%

Profit Factor1.15

Drawdown Resilience0.93

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.93

Weekly Sharpe est.0.71

Trading Activity271 trades · 10 active days

P&L Calendar

$5074d profit6d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue