0xea7ecd...bdc670

Smart Score

Win Rate

74.4%

Total P&L

-$6

Trade Count

469

Sharpe Ratio

0.01

Sortino Ratio

0.01

Max Drawdown

157.0%

ROI

-0.0%

Profit Factor

2.95

Kelly Fraction

0.492

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

024.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	SELL	94.9¢	32.18	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	BUY	95.0¢	32.18	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	SELL	94.9¢	34.32	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	BUY	95.0¢	34.32	Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	94.4¢	32.61	Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	94.5¢	32.61	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	SELL	94.9¢	39.93	Mar 3
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	BUY	95.0¢	39.92	Mar 3
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	SELL	94.3¢	37.28	Mar 3
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	BUY	94.7¢	37.28	Mar 3
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	SELL	94.9¢	41.15	Mar 3
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	BUY	95.1¢	41.16	Mar 2
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	96.9¢	35.25	Mar 2
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	97.0¢	35.25	Mar 2
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	SELL	97.5¢	34.57	Mar 2
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	BUY	96.5¢	5.56	Feb 27
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	BUY	96.5¢	29.01	Feb 27
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	SELL	97.3¢	27.18	Feb 27
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	BUY	97.6¢	27.18	Feb 27
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	SELL	95.3¢	37.36	Feb 26

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing24.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.33

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)22.0%

Win Consistency38.5%

Profit Factor0.63

Drawdown Resilience0.51

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.51

Weekly Sharpe est.0.39

Trading Activity469 trades · 30 active days

P&L Calendar

$109d profit21d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue