0xea94d9...aa4c27

Smart Score

Win Rate

58.2%

Total P&L

-$118

Trade Count

117

Sharpe Ratio

0.34

Sortino Ratio

6.24

Max Drawdown

8327.9%

ROI

-1.2%

Profit Factor

0.67

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

024.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on March 5?	BUY	96.0¢	25.16	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 74°F or higher on March 4?	BUY	1.9¢	158.947	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 36°C on March 4?	BUY	0.7¢	210	Mar 3
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 5 be greater than 2,800,000?	BUY	97.4¢	131.538	Mar 3
Will KP Sharma Oli be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?	BUY	1.7¢	178.824	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on March 4?	BUY	8.1¢	28.426	Mar 3
Will Starmer say "Radcliffe" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?	BUY	7.5¢	27.067	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on March 3?	BUY	97.5¢	14.6	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on March 3?	BUY	97.5¢	121.6	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	1.2¢	184.167	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on March 2?	BUY	2.4¢	129.03	Mar 1
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 60-61°F on March 2?	BUY	97.5¢	0.18	Mar 1
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 60-61°F on March 2?	BUY	97.5¢	136	Mar 1
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on March 1?	BUY	1.4¢	211.643	Mar 1
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on March 1?	BUY	1.9¢	226.316	Mar 1
Will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be less than $1,100,000 by March 1?	BUY	2.9¢	128.621	Feb 27
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $70 by end of February?	BUY	98.0¢	143	Feb 27
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at <$390 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 23 – Feb 27?	BUY	1.5¢	211.333	Feb 27
Will there be at least 1,300 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?	BUY	1.2¢	150.833	Feb 27
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of February 2 above $335?	BUY	1.4¢	113.571	Feb 6

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing24.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.34

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)22.2%

Win Consistency36.7%

Profit Factor0.63

Drawdown Resilience0.51

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.51

Weekly Sharpe est.0.39

Trading Activity117 trades · 55 active days

P&L Calendar

$9,3190d profit55d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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