0xea98c9...08c85c

Smart Score

Win Rate

40.0%

Total P&L

-$52

Trade Count

102

Sharpe Ratio

0.81

Sortino Ratio

13.61

Max Drawdown

339.4%

ROI

-1.9%

Profit Factor

0.85

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

024.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will "DtMF - Bad Bunny" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?	BUY	7.0¢	23.25	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 5?	BUY	3.6¢	51.5	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on March 5?	BUY	1.8¢	49	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C or higher on March 5?	BUY	96.0¢	51.33	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on March 5?	BUY	97.9¢	36.2	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 5?	BUY	0.7¢	197.143	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on March 4?	BUY	3.7¢	64.595	Mar 3
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 4 be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000?	BUY	97.9¢	0.17	Mar 3
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 15+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?	BUY	7.6¢	19.342	Mar 3
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 4 be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000?	BUY	97.9¢	58.095	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on March 4?	BUY	97.7¢	84.783	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 31°C on March 3?	BUY	88.0¢	19.59	Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 31°C on March 3?	BUY	88.0¢	5.82	Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on March 2?	BUY	90.0¢	22.4	Mar 1
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 36-37°F on March 2?	BUY	99.0¢	155.15	Mar 1
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 2?	BUY	1.0¢	232	Mar 1
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 28-29°F on March 2?	BUY	10.0¢	19.8	Mar 1
Will Walton Goggins win Best Actor in a Drama Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?	BUY	5.7¢	59.058	Feb 28
Will DeepSeek have the third-best AI model at the end of February 2026?	BUY	99.0¢	9.08	Feb 27
Will Trump meet with Kevin Warsh in February 2026?	BUY	1.4¢	227.857	Feb 27

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing24.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.34

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)22.1%

Win Consistency40.0%

Profit Factor0.63

Drawdown Resilience0.51

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.51

Weekly Sharpe est.0.39

Trading Activity102 trades · 46 active days

P&L Calendar

$2,7610d profit46d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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