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0xeaa68b...700a65

0xeaa68b...700a65
Smart Score
41
Win Rate
34.2%
Total P&L
+$405
Trade Count
625
Sharpe Ratio
0.55
Sortino Ratio
3.41
Max Drawdown
124.3%
ROI
8.5%
Profit Factor
23.60
Kelly Fraction
0.328
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
040.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Costco (COST) beat quarterly earnings?BUY7.0¢100Mar 4
Will Costco (COST) beat quarterly earnings?BUY7.0¢100Mar 4
Will GoPro (GPRO) beat quarterly earnings?BUY8.9¢50Mar 4
Will StubHub (STUB) beat quarterly earnings?BUY13.0¢89.56Mar 4
Will StubHub (STUB) beat quarterly earnings?BUY13.0¢10.44Mar 4
Will Eventbrite (EB) beat quarterly earnings?SELL11.0¢115Mar 2
Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?BUY21.0¢76.622Mar 2
Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?SELL3.9¢32.682Mar 2
Will Eventbrite (EB) beat quarterly earnings?BUY7.0¢100Mar 2
Will Eventbrite (EB) beat quarterly earnings?BUY8.0¢15Feb 28
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?SELL15.0¢76.65Feb 27
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?SELL15.0¢2.28Feb 27
Will Eventbrite (EB) beat quarterly earnings?SELL27.0¢67.65Feb 26
Will Eventbrite (EB) beat quarterly earnings?SELL23.0¢67.65Feb 26
Will Sweetgreen (SG) beat quarterly earnings?SELL20.0¢25.29Feb 26
Will Sweetgreen (SG) beat quarterly earnings?SELL20.0¢24.7Feb 26
Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?BUY34.0¢2Feb 25
Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?BUY34.0¢2.22Feb 25
Will IONQ (IONQ) beat quarterly earnings?SELL27.0¢49.99Feb 25
Will Sweetgreen (SG) beat quarterly earnings?BUY21.0¢18.35Feb 25

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%38%< 10%22%10–20%14%20–30%15%30–50%9%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing40.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.24
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)37.0%
Win Consistency58.6%
Profit Factor1.06
Drawdown Resilience0.85
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.85
Weekly Sharpe est.0.65
Trading Activity625 trades · 95 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
+$17844d profit51d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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