0xeabb01...c36c95

Smart Score

Win Rate

55.9%

Total P&L

+$882

Trade Count

128

Sharpe Ratio

-1.07

Sortino Ratio

-1.95

Max Drawdown

1006.8%

ROI

8.8%

Profit Factor

2.07

Kelly Fraction

0.289

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

011.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	56.0¢	170.696	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	SELL	18.4¢	445.74	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	67.3¢	445.746	Mar 4
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	65.0¢	268.52	Mar 4
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	65.0¢	17.96	Mar 4
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	65.0¢	13.52	Mar 4
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?	BUY	40.0¢	200	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?	BUY	65.0¢	76.923	Mar 3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?	BUY	73.4¢	136.206	Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	83.0¢	120.482	Mar 3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?	SELL	65.0¢	146.48	Mar 3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?	SELL	65.0¢	16.385	Mar 3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?	SELL	65.0¢	142.865	Mar 3
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?	SELL	59.0¢	100.07	Mar 3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?	BUY	32.6¢	305.74	Mar 3
Will Trump say "Too Late" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?	SELL	0.2¢	40	Mar 3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?	SELL	63.0¢	10	Mar 3
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	SELL	30.0¢	169.99	Mar 3
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	SELL	30.0¢	30	Mar 3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?	BUY	52.0¢	5	Mar 3

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing11.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.65

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)10.7%

Win Consistency34.3%

Profit Factor0.31

Drawdown Resilience0.25

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.25

Weekly Sharpe est.0.19

Trading Activity128 trades · 7 active days

P&L Calendar

$6962d profit5d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue