0xead1de...d8245b

Smart Score

Win Rate

51.2%

Total P&L

-$470

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.14

Sortino Ratio

-0.18

Max Drawdown

17699.9%

ROI

-2.8%

Profit Factor

2.93

Kelly Fraction

0.337

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

019.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	SELL	99.8¢	607.75	Mar 5
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	BUY	99.9¢	607.757	Mar 5
LoL: 4 SWINES & A BUM vs Lundqvist Lightside (BO1) - NLC Regular Season	BUY	50.0¢	1,220	Feb 26
Hawks vs. Timberwolves	BUY	69.0¢	700	Feb 9
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Bublik vs Alex de Minaur	BUY	40.0¢	12	Jan 23
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?	SELL	99.8¢	1,307.72	Jan 23
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	1,307.727	Jan 23
Celtics vs. 76ers	BUY	45.0¢	28	Nov 10
Will Tencent have the top AI model on December 31?	SELL	99.7¢	1,236.24	Nov 10
Will Tencent have the top AI model on December 31?	BUY	99.9¢	1,236.236	Nov 10
Will Tencent have the top AI model on December 31?	SELL	99.7¢	1,237.23	Nov 10
Will Tencent have the top AI model on December 31?	BUY	99.9¢	1,237.237	Nov 10
Patriots vs. Saints	BUY	37.0¢	30	Oct 10
Will Forum for Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	SELL	99.8¢	496.49	Oct 10
Will Forum for Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	BUY	99.9¢	496.496	Oct 10
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $118K on July 20 at 5PM ET?	BUY	51.0¢	58.824	Jul 20
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	99.1¢	413.89	Jul 20
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	99.3¢	413.897	Jul 20
Piastri vs. Norris	BUY	55.0¢	2	Jun 27
Will Elon tweet 145–159 times June 20–27?	BUY	51.0¢	2	Jun 27

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing19.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.07

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)17.8%

Win Consistency53.5%

Profit Factor0.51

Drawdown Resilience0.41

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.41

Weekly Sharpe est.0.31

Trading Activity26 trades · 10 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,1650d profit10d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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