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0xeb1e4d...f17197

0xeb1e4d...f17197
Smart Score
47
Win Rate
74.2%
Total P&L
+$2.8K
Trade Count
299
Sharpe Ratio
0.87
Sortino Ratio
9.62
Max Drawdown
1001.6%
ROI
30.8%
Profit Factor
6.30
Kelly Fraction
0.624
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
047.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY3.5¢40Mar 5
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY96.6¢40Mar 5
Will Robert MacIntyre win the 2026 Masters tournament?BUY1.8¢60Mar 5
Will Robert MacIntyre win the 2026 Masters tournament?BUY98.3¢60Mar 5
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY3.8¢80Mar 5
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY96.3¢80Mar 5
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY98.6¢70Mar 4
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY1.5¢70Mar 4
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY98.5¢70Mar 4
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY1.6¢70Mar 4
Trump out as President by March 31?BUY98.1¢110Mar 4
Trump out as President by March 31?BUY2.0¢110Mar 4
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY98.1¢100Mar 4
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY2.0¢100Mar 4
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY1.4¢100Mar 4
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY98.7¢100Mar 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY94.7¢30Mar 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY5.4¢30Mar 4
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL2.2¢80Mar 4
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY2.4¢80Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%40%< 10%5%10–20%20–30%3%30–50%4%50–70%70–80%5%80–90%38%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing47.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.59
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)42.9%
Win Consistency38.5%
Profit Factor1.22
Drawdown Resilience0.99
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.99
Weekly Sharpe est.0.75
Trading Activity299 trades · 11 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$7,0410d profit11d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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