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0xeb5f92...f5c111

0xeb5f92...f5c111
Smart Score
26
Win Rate
63.0%
Total P&L
+$218
Trade Count
150
Sharpe Ratio
-1.31
Sortino Ratio
-1.34
Max Drawdown
232.1%
ROI
4.9%
Profit Factor
8.52
Kelly Fraction
0.556
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
025.6/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY85.0¢71Mar 5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?SELL97.9¢62Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?BUY79.8¢92.4Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?BUY79.8¢0.6Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?BUY79.8¢20Mar 5
US strikes Iraq by March 7?SELL40.0¢225Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY73.0¢120Mar 4
US strikes Iraq by March 7?BUY22.0¢195.79Mar 3
US strikes Iraq by March 7?BUY22.0¢9.61Mar 3
US strikes Iraq by March 7?BUY22.0¢19.6Mar 3
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?SELL1.5¢300Mar 3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?SELL8.0¢123.47Mar 3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?SELL25.0¢56.25Mar 3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?SELL25.0¢5Mar 3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?SELL25.0¢15.28Mar 3
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?SELL16.5¢249.99Mar 3
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?SELL15.0¢403.98Mar 3
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY14.5¢16.08Mar 3
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY14.5¢233.918Mar 3
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?BUY4.2¢74.76Mar 2

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%11%< 10%13%10–20%8%20–30%30–50%50–70%24%70–80%11%80–90%28%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing25.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.41
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)23.3%
Win Consistency50.0%
Profit Factor0.67
Drawdown Resilience0.54
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.54
Weekly Sharpe est.0.41
Trading Activity150 trades · 18 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$9777d profit11d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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