0xeb742d...7428b0

Smart Score

Win Rate

82.1%

Total P&L

+$19

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

1.16

Sortino Ratio

0.94

Max Drawdown

58.1%

ROI

2.4%

Profit Factor

6.21

Kelly Fraction

0.689

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

063.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will there be at least 1400 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?	BUY	91.0¢	5.8	Mar 5
Will Alex Vanopslagh be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?	BUY	95.0¢	18.74	Mar 5
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?	SELL	96.6¢	18.87	Mar 5
Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by March 31?	SELL	65.0¢	7.46	Mar 3
Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by March 31?	BUY	94.0¢	7.46	Mar 3
Will Google have the best AI model for coding on March 31?	BUY	95.0¢	0.11	Mar 3
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?	BUY	94.2¢	18.86	Mar 3
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by March 31?	BUY	95.0¢	18.74	Mar 3
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?	SELL	93.8¢	19.8	Mar 3
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	BUY	93.0¢	14.32	Mar 3
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	BUY	93.0¢	4.82	Mar 3
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?	SELL	94.9¢	19.57	Mar 3
Will AfD win the second most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?	SELL	95.3¢	20.05	Mar 1
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?	BUY	89.7¢	19.81	Feb 23
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% or more in February?	BUY	91.0¢	19.61	Feb 23
Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?	BUY	84.0¢	21.26	Feb 23
Will AfD win the second most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?	BUY	89.0¢	20.06	Feb 23
Will "The Epstein Files" reach #1 on Apple Podcast by March 15?	BUY	93.0¢	19.19	Feb 23
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?	BUY	90.8¢	19.57	Feb 23
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?	SELL	95.0¢	19.61	Feb 23

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Active63.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.49

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)57.8%

Win Consistency81.3%

Profit Factor1.65

Drawdown Resilience1.33

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.33

Weekly Sharpe est.1.02

Trading Activity54 trades · 12 active days

P&L Calendar

$1863d profit9d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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