0xeb9353...d4735c

0xeb9353...d4735c
Smart Score
21
Win Rate
69.1%
Total P&L
+$33
Trade Count
283
Sharpe Ratio
0.20
Sortino Ratio
2.02
Max Drawdown
337.6%
ROI
1.1%
Profit Factor
1.05
Kelly Fraction
0.033
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
020.9/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on March 6?BUY82.0¢12.195Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 3°C on March 6?BUY82.0¢8.537Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on March 6?BUY81.0¢6.173Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 6?BUY89.0¢11.236Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on March 6?BUY85.0¢11.765Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 6?BUY68.0¢7.353Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 54°F or higher on March 6?BUY86.0¢11.628Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C on March 5?BUY87.0¢34.483Mar 5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?BUY5.8¢172.414Mar 3
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?BUY74.0¢13.514Mar 3
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?BUY39.0¢12.821Mar 2
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?BUY65.0¢15.385Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -9°C or below on March 2?BUY99.4¢10.06Mar 1
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -8°C on March 2?BUY99.6¢10.04Mar 1
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -7°C on March 2?BUY97.5¢10.256Mar 1
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -5°C on March 2?BUY82.0¢12.195Mar 1
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -6°C on March 2?BUY92.0¢10.87Mar 1
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY96.7¢5.171Mar 1
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY95.2¢10.504Feb 28
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 30°C on February 26?BUY97.0¢10.309Feb 26
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%5%< 10%10–20%3%20–30%16%30–50%18%50–70%5%70–80%14%80–90%38%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing20.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.15
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)19.0%
Win Consistency61.3%
Profit Factor0.54
Drawdown Resilience0.44
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.44
Weekly Sharpe est.0.33
Trading Activity283 trades · 74 active days
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P&L Calendar
$2,2563d profit71d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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