0xeb9d29...8fe31b

0xeb9d29...8fe31b
Smart Score
37
Win Rate
67.5%
Total P&L
+$11.8K
Trade Count
986
Sharpe Ratio
0.34
Sortino Ratio
50.52
Max Drawdown
291.6%
ROI
5.8%
Profit Factor
1.69
Kelly Fraction
0.275
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
036.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?BUY76.0¢394.73Mar 3
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?SELL99.8¢4,166Mar 1
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY96.0¢3,633.02Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY96.0¢422.5Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY96.0¢81.135Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY96.0¢30Feb 28
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?BUY89.0¢257.58Feb 28
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?BUY89.0¢170.028Feb 28
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?BUY89.0¢4.66Feb 28
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?BUY89.0¢104.451Feb 28
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?BUY89.0¢27.273Feb 28
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?BUY89.0¢26.855Feb 28
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?BUY90.0¢1,111.11Feb 28
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?BUY91.0¢854.97Feb 28
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?BUY96.9¢3,092.78Feb 28
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?SELL96.2¢2,315.5Feb 25
Will the median home value in the DC Metro area be greater than $537,000 by March 1?BUY3.0¢10Feb 24
Will the median home value in the DC Metro area be greater than $537,000 by March 1?BUY3.0¢2.77Feb 24
Will the median home value in the DC Metro area be greater than $537,000 by March 1?BUY3.0¢20Feb 24
Will the median home value in the DC Metro area be greater than $537,000 by March 1?BUY3.0¢5Feb 24
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%18%< 10%4%10–20%3%20–30%6%30–50%9%50–70%8%70–80%9%80–90%42%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing36.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.02
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)33.4%
Win Consistency60.5%
Profit Factor0.95
Drawdown Resilience0.77
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.77
Weekly Sharpe est.0.59
Trading Activity986 trades · 34 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$63,2287d profit27d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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