0xebcdc3...96e8a3

Smart Score

Win Rate

65.7%

Total P&L

+$33

Trade Count

547

Sharpe Ratio

0.35

Sortino Ratio

3.58

Max Drawdown

27021597000000000.0%

ROI

0.8%

Profit Factor

4.14

Kelly Fraction

0.498

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

038.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	82.8¢	12.077	Mar 5
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	96.8¢	7.25	Mar 5
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	96.9¢	7.224	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4AM ET	SELL	99.9¢	18.18	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4AM ET	BUY	99.0¢	18.182	Mar 5
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	92.6¢	7.55	Mar 5
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	92.8¢	7.543	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2AM ET	BUY	99.0¢	10.101	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12AM ET	SELL	99.9¢	13.13	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12AM ET	BUY	99.0¢	13.131	Mar 5
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	94.0¢	10.64	Mar 5
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	94.0¢	10.638	Mar 5
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	SELL	83.0¢	5.82	Mar 4
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	96.7¢	8.24	Mar 4
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	98.0¢	6.13	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7PM ET	SELL	76.0¢	10.2	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7PM ET	BUY	98.0¢	10.204	Mar 4
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	78.7¢	8.9	Mar 4
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	78.8¢	8.883	Mar 4
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	96.7¢	7.23	Mar 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing38.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.10

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)34.8%

Win Consistency49.3%

Profit Factor0.99

Drawdown Resilience0.80

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.80

Weekly Sharpe est.0.61

Trading Activity547 trades · 40 active days

P&L Calendar

$52112d profit28d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue