0xec1590...4e9b0c

Smart Score

Win Rate

41.8%

Total P&L

+$572

Trade Count

210

Sharpe Ratio

2.62

Sortino Ratio

25.38

Max Drawdown

721.6%

ROI

18.8%

Profit Factor

2.81

Kelly Fraction

0.270

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

042.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.24ºC in February 2026?	SELL	28.1¢	5.56	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	1.3¢	384.615	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	20.7¢	33.33	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	30.0¢	33.333	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	SELL	69.6¢	199.44	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	58.0¢	481.85	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	69.0¢	57.971	Mar 4
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?	SELL	11.0¢	151.9	Mar 4
Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?	SELL	82.1¢	45.08	Mar 4
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	SELL	86.0¢	57.11	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	38.9¢	257.086	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	33.3¢	166.79	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	BUY	49.7¢	100.596	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	SELL	42.0¢	98.84	Mar 4
Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?	SELL	85.6¢	29.4	Mar 4
Hawks vs. Bucks	BUY	18.0¢	138.889	Mar 4
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	BUY	86.0¢	29.058	Mar 4
Baylor Bears vs. Houston Cougars	BUY	1.6¢	82	Mar 4
Baylor Bears vs. Houston Cougars	BUY	33.0¢	30.303	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	7.8¢	63.932	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing42.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.32

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)38.4%

Win Consistency35.1%

Profit Factor1.10

Drawdown Resilience0.89

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.89

Weekly Sharpe est.0.68

Trading Activity210 trades · 5 active days

P&L Calendar

$2031d profit4d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue