0xec7061...58961b

Smart Score

Win Rate

65.1%

Total P&L

-$79

Trade Count

220

Sharpe Ratio

-1.32

Sortino Ratio

-1.06

Max Drawdown

9900.2%

ROI

-14.1%

Profit Factor

0.43

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

00/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
War Powers resolution passes the Senate?	BUY	96.9¢	1.032	Mar 5
Will Iran strike UAE in March?	BUY	98.7¢	1.013	Mar 5
Will AfD win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?	BUY	96.2¢	1.04	Mar 5
Will the Cash initiative or counter-proposal be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?	BUY	99.1¢	1.009	Mar 5
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?	BUY	90.7¢	1.103	Mar 5
Will Rabi Lamichhane be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?	BUY	99.4¢	1.006	Mar 4
Will KP Sharma Oli be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?	BUY	99.3¢	1.007	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in March?	BUY	99.8¢	5.01	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in March?	SELL	99.3¢	5.04	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?	SELL	98.6¢	5.04	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?	BUY	99.6¢	5.02	Mar 4
Will Japan’s January 2026 unemployment rate be ≥2.7%?	SELL	0.1¢	1.01	Mar 4
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?	SELL	0.1¢	1.15	Mar 4
Will "Macbook" be said 10+ times during the NYC Apple event on March 4?	SELL	12.6¢	1.19	Mar 4
Will "M5" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?	SELL	21.1¢	1.02	Mar 4
Will "iPad" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?	SELL	26.2¢	1.07	Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	BUY	95.9¢	5.214	Mar 3
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	BUY	93.5¢	5.348	Mar 3
Will "Project Hail Mary" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	SELL	97.0¢	1.01	Mar 2
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	SELL	96.9¢	5.15	Mar 2

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%

Win Consistency49.1%

Profit Factor0.00

Drawdown Resilience0.00

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00

Weekly Sharpe est.0.00

Trading Activity220 trades · 21 active days

P&L Calendar

$2883d profit18d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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