0xec8706...a1e633

Smart Score

Win Rate

58.4%

Total P&L

+$18

Trade Count

2,592

Sharpe Ratio

0.25

Sortino Ratio

19.57

Max Drawdown

3283.8%

ROI

0.1%

Profit Factor

1.13

Kelly Fraction

0.065

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

029/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	SELL	50.0¢	11	Mar 5
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	BUY	52.0¢	9	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	BUY	35.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	61.0¢	6.17	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	61.0¢	2.821	Mar 5
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	SELL	78.0¢	3	Mar 5
Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?	SELL	61.0¢	8	Mar 5
Will France strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	86.9¢	35	Mar 5
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?	SELL	4.3¢	12	Mar 5
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 15% and 25% on March 31?	SELL	56.0¢	17	Mar 5
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?	SELL	79.0¢	40	Mar 5
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?	SELL	59.0¢	19	Mar 5
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 5% and 15% on March 31?	SELL	24.0¢	23	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	BUY	39.0¢	16	Mar 5
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	BUY	34.0¢	6.98	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	BUY	47.0¢	9	Mar 5
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	BUY	34.0¢	3.015	Mar 5
Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?	BUY	84.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	37.3¢	23	Mar 5
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	BUY	12.4¢	14	Mar 5

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing29

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.59

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)26.4%

Win Consistency58.8%

Profit Factor0.75

Drawdown Resilience0.61

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.61

Weekly Sharpe est.0.46

Trading Activity2,592 trades · 72 active days

P&L Calendar

$2,83123d profit49d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue