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0xecb631...3ab68b

0xecb631...3ab68b
Smart Score
29
Win Rate
93.8%
Total P&L
+$15
Trade Count
85
Sharpe Ratio
-4.55
Sortino Ratio
-3.73
Max Drawdown
1355.9%
ROI
1.9%
Profit Factor
175.18
Kelly Fraction
0.932
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
029/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 6?BUY98.9¢10Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -1°C on March 6?BUY98.4¢10Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on March 6?BUY97.0¢10Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on March 5?SELL99.9¢10Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on March 5?BUY98.0¢10Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on March 5?BUY99.0¢10Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on March 5?BUY97.0¢10Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 0°C on March 5?BUY99.0¢10Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 40-41°F on March 4?SELL99.3¢10Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on March 5?BUY99.0¢10Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C or higher on March 4?BUY99.0¢10Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 4?SELL99.0¢10Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 40-41°F on March 4?BUY98.0¢10Mar 3
Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?SELL99.0¢10Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on March 3?SELL99.9¢10Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 4?BUY97.0¢10Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 38-39°F on March 3?SELL99.9¢10Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 50°F or higher on March 4?BUY99.0¢10Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on March 3?BUY97.0¢10Mar 3
Will Bill Clinton say "Mossad" during his Epstein testimony?SELL99.6¢10Mar 2

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%100%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing29

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.59
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)26.4%
Win Consistency47.9%
Profit Factor0.75
Drawdown Resilience0.61
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.61
Weekly Sharpe est.0.46
Trading Activity85 trades · 31 active days
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P&L Calendar
$9415d profit16d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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