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0xecf870...935db8

0xecf870...935db8
Smart Score
51
Win Rate
51.0%
Total P&L
+$87
Trade Count
86
Sharpe Ratio
3.20
Sortino Ratio
22.12
Max Drawdown
2835.7%
ROI
40.9%
Profit Factor
3.98
Kelly Fraction
0.382
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
050.9/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY6.9¢43.623Mar 5
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-04?BUY11.0¢18.182Mar 4
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-04?SELL99.9¢15Mar 4
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-04?BUY20.0¢15Mar 4
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?BUY25.0¢8Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11AM ETBUY15.0¢6.667Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ETBUY54.0¢1.852Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:55AM-11:00AM ETBUY45.0¢5Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:45AM-10:50AM ETSELL5.0¢3.41Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:45AM-10:50AM ETBUY29.0¢3.448Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ETSELL99.1¢2.23Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ETBUY44.0¢2.273Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:30AM-10:45AM ETBUY10.0¢10Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETBUY6.0¢16.667Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 4?BUY11.9¢25.21Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETBUY66.0¢1.515Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY14.0¢7.143Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY27.2¢3.676Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY2.9¢172.879Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL3.1¢282.53Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%18%< 10%12%10–20%12%20–30%27%30–50%15%50–70%8%70–80%6%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing50.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.80
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)46.3%
Win Consistency50.9%
Profit Factor1.32
Drawdown Resilience1.07
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.07
Weekly Sharpe est.0.81
Trading Activity86 trades · 6 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
+$341d profit5d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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