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0xed3f0f...042839

0xed3f0f...042839
Smart Score
32
Win Rate
86.1%
Total P&L
+$477
Trade Count
118
Sharpe Ratio
0.05
Sortino Ratio
0.05
Max Drawdown
107.9%
ROI
6.3%
Profit Factor
3.57
Kelly Fraction
0.619
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
031.5/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY99.9¢91.491Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY99.8¢52.906Mar 1
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY99.8¢61.834Feb 28
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in February?BUY99.9¢21.961Feb 26
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?BUY99.9¢172.272Feb 25
Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?BUY99.9¢187.777Feb 19
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?BUY99.9¢192.322Feb 17
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?BUY99.7¢173.771Feb 10
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January?BUY99.9¢41.311Jan 30
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?BUY98.2¢31.619Jan 22
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?BUY96.3¢129.159Jan 18
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY99.7¢46.802Dec 30
Trump out as President in 2025?BUY99.8¢125.862Dec 27
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?BUY99.3¢387.554Dec 23
Will the ECB announce no change at the December meeting?BUY99.9¢482.162Dec 15
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?BUY93.0¢5.968Dec 7
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?BUY30.0¢674.867Nov 20
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?BUY98.4¢108.974Oct 26
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?BUY5.5¢44Sep 17
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?BUY98.2¢127.984Sep 16

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%3%20–30%9%30–50%15%50–70%70–80%80–90%65%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing31.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.73
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)28.7%
Win Consistency59.8%
Profit Factor0.82
Drawdown Resilience0.66
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.66
Weekly Sharpe est.0.50
Trading Activity78 trades · 66 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$3,01815d profit51d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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