0xed3f68...32c0ce

Smart Score

Win Rate

29.2%

Total P&L

-$4

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.81

Sortino Ratio

2.52

Max Drawdown

95.8%

ROI

-5.9%

Profit Factor

0.83

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

011.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?	BUY	28.0¢	3.571	Mar 5
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?	BUY	63.0¢	1.587	Mar 5
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	BUY	83.0¢	1.205	Mar 5
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	BUY	54.0¢	1.852	Mar 5
Will Austin FC win on 2026-03-07?	BUY	62.0¢	1.613	Mar 1
Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-03-07?	BUY	48.0¢	2.083	Mar 1
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-03-07?	BUY	57.0¢	1.754	Mar 1
Will New England Revolution win on 2026-03-07?	BUY	40.0¢	2.5	Mar 1
Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-03-07?	BUY	42.0¢	2.381	Mar 1
Will San Diego FC win on 2026-03-01?	BUY	64.0¢	1.563	Mar 1
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-03-01?	BUY	45.0¢	2.222	Mar 1
Will Austin FC win on 2026-03-01?	BUY	50.0¢	2	Mar 1
Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-03-01?	BUY	28.0¢	3.571	Mar 1
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	BUY	83.0¢	2.41	Feb 28
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	BUY	89.0¢	2.247	Feb 28
Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by March 31?	BUY	65.0¢	1.538	Feb 28
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	BUY	40.0¢	12.5	Feb 20
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	BUY	58.0¢	8.621	Feb 20
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?	BUY	97.9¢	10.214	Feb 19
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	BUY	96.7¢	2.068	Feb 17

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing11.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.62

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)10.3%

Win Consistency25.0%

Profit Factor0.29

Drawdown Resilience0.24

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.24

Weekly Sharpe est.0.18

Trading Activity24 trades · 8 active days

P&L Calendar

$610d profit8d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue