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0xed479d...e25d79

0xed479d...e25d79
Smart Score
7
Win Rate
69.6%
Total P&L
+$89
Trade Count
167
Sharpe Ratio
-0.95
Sortino Ratio
-0.90
Max Drawdown
6002.3%
ROI
0.6%
Profit Factor
1.11
Kelly Fraction
0.072
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
07/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will there be a new supreme leader of Iran before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?BUY84.1¢80.878Mar 5
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?SELL68.0¢66.05Mar 5
Will there be a new supreme leader of Iran before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?BUY77.0¢259.74Mar 5
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?SELL96.2¢227.84Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY75.0¢133.333Mar 4
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL96.4¢107.19Mar 4
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?BUY91.0¢98.901Mar 3
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY93.3¢107.199Mar 2
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?BUY92.0¢85.87Mar 2
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?BUY29.0¢172.414Mar 1
Manchester United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 4.5BUY87.0¢57.471Mar 1
Will Iran strike no countries in March?SELL98.0¢104.16Mar 1
Manchester United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5BUY79.0¢18.987Mar 1
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?BUY89.1¢112.233Mar 1
Will Trump visit China by April 30?BUY80.6¢124.012Mar 1
Will Jordan strike Iran by March 31?SELL89.0¢111.66Mar 1
Will Jordan strike Iran by March 31?BUY89.6¢111.667Mar 1
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?BUY75.7¢66.053Mar 1
North Korea missile launch by February 28?SELL99.9¢95.12Mar 1
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?BUY86.5¢115.607Mar 1

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%5%10–20%7%20–30%6%30–50%11%50–70%23%70–80%22%80–90%25%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.39
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)6.4%
Win Consistency53.4%
Profit Factor0.18
Drawdown Resilience0.15
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.15
Weekly Sharpe est.0.11
Trading Activity167 trades · 40 active days
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P&L Calendar
$1,99712d profit27d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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