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0xed7a13...fe3119

0xed7a13...fe3119
Smart Score
23
Win Rate
34.0%
Total P&L
-$12
Trade Count
326
Sharpe Ratio
0.72
Sortino Ratio
9.88
Max Drawdown
40.0%
ROI
-0.5%
Profit Factor
0.42
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
022.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL94.5¢6.33Mar 5
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY94.7¢6.336Mar 5
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL96.0¢5.2Mar 5
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY96.1¢5.203Mar 5
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY99.2¢9.073Mar 5
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL58.1¢17.15Mar 4
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?SELL99.2¢5.02Mar 4
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY58.3¢17.153Mar 4
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?SELL98.8¢9.1Mar 4
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?BUY98.9¢9.1Mar 4
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL58.3¢11.99Mar 4
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY58.3¢11.997Mar 4
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL96.7¢10.33Mar 4
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY96.8¢10.331Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL51.0¢9.8Mar 4
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL99.1¢9.09Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY51.0¢9.804Mar 4
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL97.7¢5.13Mar 4
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY97.4¢5.133Mar 4
Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL99.2¢8.06Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%10%50–70%5%70–80%80–90%80%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing22.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.25
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)20.8%
Win Consistency44.4%
Profit Factor0.59
Drawdown Resilience0.48
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.48
Weekly Sharpe est.0.36
Trading Activity326 trades · 30 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$15410d profit20d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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