0xeda56f...95355c

Smart Score

Win Rate

36.4%

Total P&L

+$50

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

2.00

Sortino Ratio

53.62

Max Drawdown

1217.6%

ROI

15.4%

Profit Factor

12.94

Kelly Fraction

0.336

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

047.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	BUY	2.3¢	43.333	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	BUY	2.8¢	181.247	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	SELL	76.0¢	13.85	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	SELL	76.0¢	6.079	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	SELL	76.0¢	1.316	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	SELL	76.0¢	4.71	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	BUY	38.0¢	26.337	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	SELL	99.1¢	42.12	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	BUY	98.0¢	42.133	Mar 4
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?	SELL	99.8¢	65.78	Feb 26
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	SELL	9.0¢	92.28	Feb 25
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?	BUY	15.2¢	65.789	Feb 25
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	BUY	12.0¢	92.28	Feb 14
US government shutdown Saturday?	BUY	25.0¢	13	Jan 28
Will SpaceX have exactly 11 launches in January?	SELL	1.0¢	327.73	Jan 28
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	BUY	14.0¢	53.15	Jan 26
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	BUY	14.0¢	38.14	Jan 26
Will SpaceX have exactly 11 launches in January?	SELL	3.5¢	73.67	Jan 25
Will SpaceX have exactly 11 launches in January?	SELL	3.6¢	65.34	Jan 25
Will SpaceX have exactly 11 launches in January?	SELL	6.3¢	44	Jan 24

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing47.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.61

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)43.1%

Win Consistency40.0%

Profit Factor1.23

Drawdown Resilience1.00

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.00

Weekly Sharpe est.0.76

Trading Activity24 trades · 12 active days

P&L Calendar

+$496d profit6d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue