0xedd688...aa9c2f

0xedd688...aa9c2f
Smart Score
40
Win Rate
20.7%
Total P&L
-$76
Trade Count
197
Sharpe Ratio
3.30
Sortino Ratio
273.25
Max Drawdown
35.1%
ROI
-28.2%
Profit Factor
0.18
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
039.6/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 5?BUY47.0¢0.15Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 5?BUY60.0¢12.71Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 5?BUY47.0¢10Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 5?BUY60.0¢7Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 80°F or higher on March 6?BUY43.0¢21.39Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 5?SELL5.0¢35Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 5?SELL19.0¢14.59Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 5?SELL99.0¢12.1Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 4?SELL99.9¢4.09Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 4?SELL73.0¢7.3Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 5?SELL4.0¢13.72Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 5?SELL4.0¢25Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 5?SELL4.0¢130Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on March 5?SELL2.3¢185.01Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on March 5?SELL2.3¢10Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on March 5?SELL2.3¢44.783Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on March 5?SELL2.3¢44.348Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 74°F or higher on March 4?SELL0.1¢316.12Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on March 5?SELL2.3¢5Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 74°F or higher on March 4?SELL0.1¢19.99Mar 4
Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%84%< 10%9%10–20%20–30%30–50%4%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing39.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.18
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)36.0%
Win Consistency62.1%
Profit Factor1.03
Drawdown Resilience0.83
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.83
Weekly Sharpe est.0.63

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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