0xede3eb...0ae3f2

Smart Score

Win Rate

48.9%

Total P&L

+$559

Trade Count

956

Sharpe Ratio

0.40

Sortino Ratio

1.99

Max Drawdown

311.9%

ROI

3.5%

Profit Factor

1.64

Kelly Fraction

0.191

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

023.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	BUY	52.8¢	28.409	Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?	BUY	24.0¢	62.5	Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	SELL	81.0¢	20.83	Mar 4
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?	SELL	0.1¢	212.94	Mar 3
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	BUY	72.0¢	20.833	Mar 3
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?	BUY	4.7¢	212.949	Mar 3
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	23.0¢	56.522	Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	22.0¢	50	Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	29.0¢	51.724	Mar 2
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?	SELL	68.0¢	74.62	Mar 1
Will France strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	82.6¢	60.528	Mar 1
Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	90.1¢	55.494	Mar 1
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	65.5¢	61.061	Mar 1
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	73.5¢	40.824	Mar 1
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?	BUY	67.0¢	74.627	Mar 1
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	33.0¢	151.515	Mar 1
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?	BUY	99.8¢	10.02	Feb 27
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?	BUY	96.0¢	10.417	Feb 27
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?	SELL	70.0¢	30	Feb 27
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?	BUY	67.0¢	15	Feb 27

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing23.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.27

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)21.0%

Win Consistency43.5%

Profit Factor0.60

Drawdown Resilience0.49

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.49

Weekly Sharpe est.0.37

Trading Activity946 trades · 119 active days

P&L Calendar

$3,25342d profit77d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue