0xee1fce...41ccec

Smart Score

Win Rate

82.6%

Total P&L

+$194

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.15

Sortino Ratio

-0.13

Max Drawdown

28924.5%

ROI

14.3%

Profit Factor

9.22

Kelly Fraction

0.737

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

031.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	0.8¢	1.78	Mar 5
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	99.1¢	1.78	Mar 5
Nets vs. Magic	BUY	20.0¢	105	Feb 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 7AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	60.2	Nov 28
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 7AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	373.8	Nov 28
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $105K on May 23?	BUY	99.9¢	1.361	May 23
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $98000 on May 16?	BUY	99.7¢	1.274	May 16
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $93000 on May 9?	BUY	99.8¢	1.433	May 8
Will Ethereum reach $2200 in April?	BUY	99.7¢	1.194	Apr 29
Will Bitcoin reach $110k in April?	BUY	99.9¢	1.441	Apr 29
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1400 and $1500 on Apr 25?	BUY	99.9¢	1.341	Apr 25
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $85000 and $87000 on Apr 25?	BUY	99.9¢	1.401	Apr 25
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1300 and $1400 on Apr 18?	BUY	99.7¢	1.274	Apr 18
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76000 and $78000 on Apr 18?	BUY	99.9¢	1.121	Apr 18
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $90000 on April 4?	BUY	99.8¢	1.212	Apr 4
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by March 31?	BUY	99.9¢	1.251	Mar 28
Will Ethereum hit $3,500.00 again by March 31?	BUY	99.9¢	1.461	Mar 28
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $78000 on Mar 28?	BUY	99.8¢	1.082	Mar 28
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $77000 on Mar 21?	BUY	99.8¢	1.293	Mar 21
Ethereum above $2,200 on March 14?	BUY	99.9¢	1.191	Mar 14

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing31.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.75

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)28.9%

Win Consistency45.8%

Profit Factor0.83

Drawdown Resilience0.67

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.67

Weekly Sharpe est.0.51

Trading Activity15 trades · 10 active days

P&L Calendar

$2491d profit9d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue