0xee38f4...b1fd31

Smart Score

Win Rate

72.2%

Total P&L

+$427

Trade Count

1,103

Sharpe Ratio

-0.24

Sortino Ratio

-0.36

Max Drawdown

6387.7%

ROI

3.7%

Profit Factor

2.01

Kelly Fraction

0.363

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

020.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	79.4¢	18.89	Mar 5
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	79.4¢	18.88	Mar 5
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	79.4¢	5.15	Mar 5
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	79.4¢	13.61	Mar 5
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	54.1¢	20	Mar 4
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	92.0¢	50	Mar 4
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	98.0¢	99	Mar 4
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	98.0¢	10	Mar 4
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	56.2¢	10	Mar 4
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	56.2¢	10	Mar 4
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	43.8¢	55.66	Mar 4
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	SELL	82.0¢	11.31	Mar 4
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 4, 2026?	SELL	1.6¢	35.6	Mar 4
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	43.0¢	30.66	Mar 4
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	42.9¢	25	Mar 4
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?	BUY	89.0¢	40	Mar 4
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	72.8¢	71	Mar 4
QatarEnergy resumes LNG production by March 14?	BUY	67.0¢	14.99	Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at <$60 in March?	BUY	82.0¢	50	Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at <$60 in March?	BUY	86.0¢	20	Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing20.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.14

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)18.9%

Win Consistency58.0%

Profit Factor0.54

Drawdown Resilience0.44

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.44

Weekly Sharpe est.0.33

Trading Activity1,103 trades · 69 active days

P&L Calendar

$3,58017d profit52d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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